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Khosravi, Anvar, Daei-Karimzadeh, Saeed, Shahmoradi, Behrooz, Soltanpanah, Heirsh. (1399). Optimizing the Export Diversification Strategy of Iran's Chemical Products Using Product Spaces and Economic Complexity Theories. , 9(2), 595-621. doi: 10.22099/ijes.2021.40183.1744
Anvar Khosravi; Saeed Daei-Karimzadeh; Behrooz Shahmoradi; Heirsh Soltanpanah. "Optimizing the Export Diversification Strategy of Iran's Chemical Products Using Product Spaces and Economic Complexity Theories". , 9, 2, 1399, 595-621. doi: 10.22099/ijes.2021.40183.1744
Khosravi, Anvar, Daei-Karimzadeh, Saeed, Shahmoradi, Behrooz, Soltanpanah, Heirsh. (1399). 'Optimizing the Export Diversification Strategy of Iran's Chemical Products Using Product Spaces and Economic Complexity Theories', , 9(2), pp. 595-621. doi: 10.22099/ijes.2021.40183.1744
Khosravi, Anvar, Daei-Karimzadeh, Saeed, Shahmoradi, Behrooz, Soltanpanah, Heirsh. Optimizing the Export Diversification Strategy of Iran's Chemical Products Using Product Spaces and Economic Complexity Theories. , 1399; 9(2): 595-621. doi: 10.22099/ijes.2021.40183.1744

Optimizing the Export Diversification Strategy of Iran's Chemical Products Using Product Spaces and Economic Complexity Theories

Iranian Journal of Economic Studies
مقاله 13، دوره 9، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 18، اسفند 2020، صفحه 595-621    اصل مقاله (606.14 K)
نوع مقاله: Research Paper
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22099/ijes.2021.40183.1744
نویسندگان
Anvar Khosravi1؛ Saeed Daei-Karimzadeh* 1؛ Behrooz Shahmoradi2؛ Heirsh Soltanpanah3
1Department of Economics, Isfahan (Khorasgan) Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran.
2Department of Economics of Science, National Research Institute for Science Policy (NRISP), Tehran, Iran.
3Department of Management, Sanandaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran.
چکیده
Achieving sustainable development in the future requires investing in productive capabilities that lead to export diversification. Given the importance of the chemical industry as a strategic industry around the world, especially in Iran, and its effect on upstream and downstream industries, determining the optimal export diversification strategy in this sector is critical. In this regard, the theory of economic complexity will be used as a basis for identifying high-potential opportunities for export diversity and the theory of product space will be applied which is a powerful tool for identifying strategies. Using export data of chemical products (2014-2018) in 128 countries, we drew product space for Iran. Based on revealed comparative advantages of more than one, results for Iran show that out of 921 six-digit chemical products of the harmonized system, 295 product codes has potential to be activated. Subsequently, by adding two new constraints to the model, potentially activate products were reduced to 145 products. Next, by implementing five strategies: random, greedy, high degree, low degree and majority on Iran's chemical products network, an integration of greedy and majority strategies has been shown to minimize network activation time. Finally, by merging these two strategies, the optimal strategy was identified, and 145 products were prioritized in order to improve export diversity.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Export diversification؛ Product Space؛ Optimal Strategy
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